Incorporating Spatial Dynamics and Temporal Dependency in Land Use Change Models

Incorporating Spatial Dynamics and Temporal Dependency in Land Use Change Models

This paper formulates an empirical discrete land-use model within a spatially explicit economic structural framework for land-use change decisions. The underlying framework goes beyond mechanistic fitting models for the spatial process of land use change to more closely link landowner decision behavior to land use patterns. At the same time, the paper explicitly considers spatial “spillover” ef...

New Directions for Urban Economic Models of Land Use Change: Incorporating Spatial Heterogeneity and Transitional Dynamics

The Dynamics of Land-Cover Change in Western Honduras: Spatial Autocorrelation and Temporal Variation

This paper presents an econometric analysis of land-cover change in western Honduras. Ground-truthed satellite image analysis indicates that between 1987 and 1996, net reforestation occurred in the 1,015.12 km study region. While some reforestation can be attributed to a 1987 ban on logging, the area of reforestation greatly exceeds that of previously clear-cut areas. Further, new area was also...

Spatial Transferability of CO2 Emission Models Incorporating Land Use, Household, and Trip Characteristics

Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Land Cover Change

The goal of this work is to monitor urban growth and the drivers of urban expansion in Chengdu, China. Between 1978 and 2002, the municipal population increased from 8 to 10.2 million and GDP grew seven-fold, changes which have had profound impacts on land cover. To address these issues, this research involves two tasks. First, we monitor land cover change using a supervised, multi-date decisio...